Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 8.870750 10.383704 12.039295 13.980482 16.188927 18.617889 21.486072
2025-12-21 6.129003 8.113349 10.517625 13.621009 17.493837 22.138667 28.098920
2025-12-28 4.934845 7.195862 10.160140 14.274376 19.770835 26.787039 36.333970
2026-01-04 4.068458 6.445217 9.776242 14.686411 21.620374 30.924068 44.181881
2026-01-11 3.345401 5.716554 9.246043 14.734350 22.869442 34.263361 51.149602
2026-01-18 2.797042 5.126469 8.790451 14.769167 24.021118 37.476639 58.109358
2026-01-25 2.287886 4.492367 8.150957 14.403279 24.481148 39.663530 63.690842
2026-02-01 1.887156 3.960437 7.582339 14.047640 24.871911 41.716744 69.154357
2026-02-08 1.530742 3.435516 6.937883 13.464148 24.801886 43.006594 73.487333
2026-02-15 1.260198 3.018964 6.416100 13.009729 24.868869 44.472797 78.140748
2026-02-22 1.135166 2.872749 6.369485 13.388171 26.373910 48.350860 86.871786
2026-03-01 1.035398 2.760733 6.369884 13.845146 28.042799 52.596048 96.442613
2026-03-08 0.862576 2.462000 5.979309 13.562291 28.449973 54.905014 103.259304
2026-03-15 0.707907 2.172054 5.565400 13.191541 28.681700 56.977387 109.924281
2026-03-22 0.649320 2.109782 5.636795 13.822822 30.889852 62.728072 123.371579
2026-03-29 0.582624 2.009137 5.603113 14.222675 32.673346 67.825666 135.978492
2026-04-05 0.505056 1.857080 5.420811 14.269134 33.739255 71.655505 146.526184
2026-04-12 0.438336 1.718139 5.245090 14.302960 34.772713 75.482697 157.288048
2026-04-19 0.364883 1.535414 4.922785 13.947167 34.934732 77.622732 165.011425
2026-04-26 0.303844 1.373531 4.623680 13.601376 35.073808 79.710027 172.739286
2026-05-03 0.245735 1.200773 4.258308 13.034112 34.650719 80.619199 178.221963
2026-05-10 0.201195 1.061631 3.960167 12.592393 34.460542 81.974736 184.639497
2026-05-17 0.183609 1.025019 3.966084 12.960254 36.205580 87.487178 199.667123